Over / Under Football Predictions
Our model publishes an Over / Under 2.5 probability for every covered match, and compares it with the market.
How the Over/Under probability is built
We start from each team’s expected goals for and against, fold in home/away and rest-day adjustments, and convert the joint distribution into the probability that the total goals will exceed 2.5.
When that probability differs meaningfully from the bookmaker’s implied probability, the match shows up under the Over/Under angle.
FAQ
- Why Over/Under 2.5 specifically?
- It’s the most liquid total-goals line across the top leagues, which keeps the bookmaker pricing tight and the comparisons meaningful.
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Predictions are probabilistic and for informational purposes only. We never guarantee outcomes. 18+ — please gamble responsibly. If gambling is becoming a problem, contact BeGambleAware or your local helpline.